Yemeni Strikes Change the Rules of the Game in the Red Sea: Will America Enter a New Naval War to Save the Zionist Entity? Amid a truce between the United States and Yemen halting mutual attacks, the region is gripped by cautious anticipation against a backdrop of complex regional and international factors. Chief among these is the increasing weakness of the Zionist entity, which has suffered painful blows from resistance factions—especially from Yemen. This vulnerability is driving the entity to escalate its aggression against Yemen while persistently pressuring the United States to engage militarily in the Red Sea to alleviate the impact of these strikes. Yamaniyon | Special Analysis The Weakness of the Zionist Entity and Its Impact on the Scene The Zionist entity is facing mounting security pressures due to the qualitative operations carried out by the Yemeni armed forces and resistance factions in Gaza—whether within Gaza, deep inside Tel Aviv, or through attacks on its vessels at sea. This security weakness is prompting the entity to rally its alliances, most notably the United States, in hopes of initiating a broad military confrontation to contain this escalating threat. In this context, the entity is leveraging its diplomatic and media influence to push Washington towards direct intervention in the Red Sea, aiming to divert pressure and restore its security dominance in the region. This escalation is reflected in persistent pressures on the American administration to shift from a posture of suspended attacks to open military engagement. Yemeni Operations in the Red Sea: Military Impact and Strategic Dimensions The military operations carried out by the Yemeni armed forces against ships linked to the Zionist entity in the Red Sea represent a qualitative shift in the nature of the conflict. No longer confined to local geography, the confrontation now extends to international maritime corridors, particularly the vital Bab al-Mandab Strait. These operations—targeting commercial vessels and shipments connected to companies supporting the Zionist enemy—have caused tangible disruption to the Israeli economy and to those countries whose companies cooperate with it. The impact has gone beyond the military dimension, becoming a strategic Yemeni bargaining chip. Yemen has succeeded in turning its geographic position into a fulcrum influencing the enemy’s trade routes, placing international powers—foremost among them the United States—in a difficult position: either risk military escalation that could ignite the entire region, or accept a new reality in which Yemen is an undeniable regional player. On a regional level, these strikes have enhanced the status of the Yemeni armed forces in the deterrence equation, proving that Israeli interests can be threatened deep at sea and along vital shipping lanes. This bolsters Yemen’s regional standing and grants it a prominent role in any future arrangements concerning the security of the Red Sea and the broader region. Internationally, the continuation of these operations is forcing major powers—especially the United States and Britain—to reassess their military presence in the region, now that their bases and forces have become vulnerable to strikes. Additionally, domestic political pressures are mounting due to the potential entanglement in an unpopular and internationally unsupported war. Will the United States Risk Confrontation Again? The agreement to halt attacks is an attempt to avoid a new military confrontation. However, growing pressure from the Zionist entity—spurred by its failure to contain Yemeni military power—may drag the United States into the fray. Nevertheless, Washington remains cautious, balancing the risks of military intervention against the security challenges posed by repeated Yemeni attacks on American interests and those of its allies. Possible Scenarios If America Intervenes Militarily Again Limited and targeted escalation aimed at striking Yemeni military capabilities to relieve pressure on the entity, while seeking to prevent the conflict from expanding. Direct confrontation in the Red Sea, which could disrupt global shipping and have significant regional and international repercussions—costs that the United States would bear first. Such a scenario would subject Washington to international pressures, compelling a return to negotiations to avert a regional catastrophe. Conclusion The weakening of the Zionist entity and its ongoing losses at the hands of Yemen are the main drivers behind its escalation and attempts to draw the United States into military intervention. However, Washington’s decision remains uncertain—caught between protecting its interests and avoiding entanglement in a regional quagmire. This leaves the future open to multiple possibilities and reflects the complexity of the regional and international landscape.